Would human civilization be better off had the scientific and industrial revolutions that mark modern civilization never occurred?
I've actually made this into a poll question, which you can find in the upper right of the Sustainable Future website. After reading this essay, please take a moment to leave your answer.
Considerations
Towards the end of the Middle Ages, the world's population is estimated to have been approximately 450 million people (in the year 1500).
According to most scholars, the Scientific Revolution began in 1543 with the publication of Nicolaus Copernicus's De revolutionibus orbium coelestium (On the Revolutions of the Heavenly Spheres) and Andreas Vesalius's De humani corporis fabrica (On the Fabric of the Human Body).
The Scientific Revolution continued to unfold into the 1700s with major advances in the fields of mathematics, astronomy, physics, chemistry, biology and medicine. At the core of the Scientific Revolution was the development of the scientific method, a major shift in how people viewed the world (away from a religious and superstitious worldview to one more firmly rooted in observable facts).
The advances made in the Scientific Revolution, as well as the paradigm shift of the scientific method, made possible the Industrial Revolution of the 1700s, which brought into being modern agriculture, manufacturing, mining, and transportation.
Modern medicine, sanitation and agricultural methods have resulted in reductions in infant mortality and increased longevity. Today, world population is approximately 6.7 billion, up more than 1200% in 500 years.
The Bad News
Of course, this progress has come at a cost. To support the expanding human civilization, greater demands have been placed on the environment. One billion hectares of forest have been cut or burned down worldwide over the last 100 years to make way for people and agriculture. This has lead to a growing problem of desertification around the world, as well as being a contributing factor in current climate change.
The burning of fossil fuels has dumped millions of tons of carbon and pollutants into the atmosphere that otherwise would not be there and may be a leading cause of current climate change.
Many plants and animals have gone extinct due to human activity (to name a few - Passenger Pigeon, Great Auk, Carolina Parakeet, Bali Tiger, Java Tiger, Arabian Gazelle, Red Gazelle, Xerces Blue Butterfly, Steller's Sea Cow, Caribbean Monk Seal...) (see my essays on Insect Extinction and Insect Conservation.)
Man-made toxins create numerous health problems and have been linked to the dramatic increase in many cancers and other diseases. Modern lifestyles in industrialized countries are "soft", lacking adequate physical activity and with high-calorie diets containing lots of sugar, unhealthy refined grains, and unhealthy fats, which have created epidemic levels of obesity, high blood pressure, heart disease, diabetes and other diseases.
Modern civilization is currently running into very real limitations for many non-renewable resources, including oil and natural gas. Renewable resources, such as agricultural products (food) are also being effected since modern production methods require large inputs of non-renewable resources. (see Could Food Shortages Bring Down Civilization? and Is Sustainable Agriculture an Oxymoron? for more on the problems with modern agriculture)
Modern human activity is also causing a freshwater crisis (see Underground Water Depletion, Disappearing Lakes and Shrinking Seas, Major Rivers Running Dry, and Crisis: Aral Sea).
The Good News
Modern medicine and technology have allowed many people to live longer and healthier lives than they otherwise would have if the Scientific and Industrial Revolutions never occurred. The average lifespan at birth in Classical Greece, Classical Rome and even Medieval Britain was 30 years. Today the average lifespan at birth is 70 years (worldwide average).
If you know someone who has a pacemaker, or has had an organ transplant, or requires daily insulin shots, that person is alive because of the Scientific and Industrial Revolutions. Many horrible, painful and often deadly diseases (small pox and polio for two examples) have been mostly eradicated.
Modern agriculture, for all its faults, is wonderfully productive and is capable of feeding many, many more people than the agricultural techniques available in 1500. If we were suddenly forced to give up modern industrialized agriculture, there would be mass starvation around the world. The Great Die-Off that many doomsayers fear would become a horrible reality.
Human knowledge has expanded greatly. We have explored the seven continents of our world and traveled to the Moon (and even beyond with our unmanned spacecraft). The average person today has much more opportunity to learn, travel, and pursue art and leisure than the average person in 1500 could even dream about. We have near instant global communications.
The Poll
I've outlined just a few considerations regarding this question. There are many more to think about. I can see many problems that have been created by the Scientific and Industrial Revolutions. I can see many good things that have been created by the Scientific and Industrial Revolutions.
Would human civilization be better off had the scientific and industrial revolutions that mark modern civilization never occurred? I don't know. I am curious as to what you think. Please participate in the poll question in the upper right of this page.

