Sunday, July 12, 2009

The Myopic "Doom & Gloom" Crowd

Science Proves Optimistic People Have a More Realistic Perception of the World Than Negative People

I've been dealing with sustainability issues for close to twenty years now. At first it was various environmental issues that motivated me. Later, I became aware of the ramifications of peak oil and resource scarcity in general. Of late, I am deeply concerned about economic and agricultural issues.

Over the years I've talked to many people about these issues and the need for sustainability. I've been actively discussing these issues on the Internet since 2004, in various chat groups, email groups and so forth.

During that time I have remained positive and upbeat, believing that mankind will eventfully overcome these issues, if we can just avoid destroying our civilization first. My approach to sustainability can best be described as doing whatever it takes (energy & resource efficiency, permaculture, reforestation, renewable energy, etc.) to buy us time to develop and implement scientific and technological solutions (ranging from space based solar energy production to mining the resources of the solar system to eventually becoming a true space-faring civilization.

In promoting my vision, particularly via the Internet, I have run into a variety of people that didn't share my optimism for the future or my enthusiasm for science & technology. Instead, they tend to have a quite negative outlook, something sometimes referred to as "doom and gloom."

For many of these people there simply is no hope for overcoming our problems and the only way to escape disaster is to revert back to some sort of pre-industrial/pre-technological past. Of course, this necessitates greatly reducing the population (without modern technology, there is simply no way to support six to eight billion people on this planet).

Many of these people hope to stabilize and reduce world population in a managed way, while others look towards an inevitable "great die-off" in the not-to-distant future. Most of the later folk look towards the die-off with understandable fear, but a few seem to eagerly embrace the idea as providing a fresh start for mankind.

In talking/debating these negative people, I have always been frustrated by what I considered to be their very narrow world view. They seem to only see the problems and challenges, and are never willing to look at the possibilities and opportunities. Whenever I bring up a reason to be optimistic, they tend to either ignore it or to dismiss it out of hand. They only see the negative, and that is all they want to see (or so it seemed to me). In short, their worldview always seemed quite myopic to me.

Well, science has proved me right. Negative people are myopic. A negative mindset does affect the way the brain functions, diminishing the negative person's ability to take in information about the world around them.

Dr. Adam Anderson, an Assistant Professor of Psychology at the University of Toronto, has examined brain activation levels with the fMRI scans, comparing brain activity of positive, happy optimistic people with that of pessimistic, unhappy negative people.

His findings: It turns out that people in a positive mood took in more information about the world around them, while people in a negative mood took in less.

In other words, negative people are myopic. They only process a limited amount of information (information that supports their negative view) compared to positive people. Positive people, on the other hand, take in and process more information, therefore have a more complete and realistic view of the world.

My gut feeling that negative people, the "doom and gloom" crowd, do have a narrow world view has now been proven by science to be correct. Negative people do fail to take in and consider all the relevant information, instead processing only that information which reinforces their negativity, which is something I've long suspected.

So today's bit of advice: Be optimistic, it is more realistic!

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

It's hard to be optimistic when thousands of leading climate experts are predicting the end of civilization, and politics as usual prevents real change in fixing the problems.

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/the-planets-future-climate-change-will-cause-civilisation-to-collapse-1742759.html

An effort on the scale of the Apollo mission that sent men to the Moon is needed if humanity is to have a fighting chance of surviving the ravages of climate change. The stakes are high, as, without sustainable growth, "billions of people will be condemned to poverty and much of civilization will collapse".

This is the stark warning from the biggest single report to look at the future of the planet – obtained by The Independent on Sunday ahead of its official publication next month. Backed by a diverse range of leading organizations such as Unesco, the World Bank, the US army and the Rockefeller Foundation, the 2009 State of the Future report runs to 6,700 pages and draws on contributions from 2,700 experts around the globe. Its findings are described by Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General of the UN, as providing "invaluable insights into the future for the United Nations, its member states, and civil society".

Patricia said...

I greatly appreciated your comments in this article. There is much to be concerned about and it can feel overwhelming, but if the experience of life is the journey, not the destination,then, I would rather share the world view that includes "possibilities and opportunities!"

Tim Gamble said...

Thank you, Anonymous, for so completely proving the point of the essay!

Anonymous said...

Yeah, Tim what do these folks know? -"a diverse range of leading organizations such as Unesco, the World Bank, the US army and the Rockefeller Foundation, the 2009 State of the Future report runs to 6,700 pages and draws on contributions from 2,700 experts around the globe."
I'm sure you know more than they do!

Tim Gamble said...

Again, thank you for proving my point!

I never said that there are no problems or challenges. That is your myopic reading of my essay. Of course there are difficulties that must be overcome. I have never denied that fact.

However, at the same time I recognize the difficulties and challenges, I also recognize the possibilities & opportunities. I do believe that we can overcome any obstacles that are before us. It won't be easy, and there are rough times ahead, but I do feel optimistic about our civilization's future.

You, on the other hand, not only focus solely on the negative (thus giving you a limited, myopic viewpoint), but you actually find my optimism offensive!

Too funny!

Ummm... Maybe turn off the news for a few days and rent a couple of good comedies. Laugh every once in a while - it does the body good. :-)

Anonymous said...

Well, with due respect, I guess you know better than the pentagon, u.s. army, a recent contingent of retired generals and the over whelming scientific consensus that climate change and global warming are real and happening now. They are a grave matter of concern for national/global security and a potential major contributor to environmental water/resource wars, increased tropical diseases/famines, pests, pandemics, reduced crop yields, increased crop failures, prolonged heat waves, thousands more deaths from heat, desertification, all manner of increasingly extreme weather events and the potential forced eco migration of thousands, perhaps millions.

As far as any advantages of climate change and increased average warming , the evidence is indicating that any minor advantages of an upward temperature trend will be more than offset by huge planetary negative impacts
outlined in several peer reviewed reports available on line.

It's no joke or secret "socialist" agenda but no one can simply dismiss the growing body of evidence that we have serious problems. "Solutions" such as adding more cancer causing particulates into the air to 'curb global warming'
aren't going to cut it.
"Don't worry, be happy" argument doesn't wash either because changes that might have happened naturally over 100's and thousands of years are being accelerated by climate change. Too short time lines and animals/people can't adapt.
Oceans are becoming saturated by co2 and becoming more and more acidic. This starts the process of dissolving the shells of small animals and is beginning to effect phyto plankton, the very source of food for larger sea life and the remaining fish humans eat. The list goes on but real time field work, measured and observed changes by scientists are adding volumes to the conclusive evidence that humans are significantly contributing to the problem and had " better change their ways".

Mother nature could wipe us out in an instance and anyone who thinks that it is ok to spew millions of tons of emissions in to the air daily, continue business as usual under the guise of the 'free market' and development at any cost shouldn't be surprised when nature starts fighting back.

It's not going to be a free ride but the costs of doing nothing are immeasurably huge in comparison. If we get it right "this time around" we can be on be on our way to a much greener, sustainable
economy and a healthier planet and populace.

Tim Gamble said...

Thank you for your posts, Anonymous. I really couldn't have a better illustration of my original point than you. You ONLY look at and consider information that reinforces your negativity, and have refused to consider or acknowledge anything of a positive or hopeful nature. Hence your limited, or myopic, worldview.

Your myopic view has even rendered you unable to correctly read my original essay. Instead, you have jumped to a number of unfounded conclusions about what you think I have said.

For example, despite your claims, I have never denied or dismissed global warming or mankind's contribution to it. On the contrary, I have talked about the seriousness of the problem and have offered a variety of potential solutions. However, since I don't share your degree of panic, hysteria and sense of hopelessness, you don't seem to be able to get your head around the fact that I do consider global warming a significant problem to overcome.

You assume that since I don't share the same degree of doom and gloom you feel, then I must not really believe.

I am not going to argue any more with you or correct anymore of your false views of what I have said. Instead I will say one final thing:

Disinformation, exaggeration and fear make for very poor motivators. Honesty and hope are much better way to motivate people to make the changes we need to make in order to achieve a sustainable future.

Anyone who has read my blogs and other writings knows that I look at and examine all sides of an issue. I talk about the problems and offer potential solutions. I do so in a calm and reasonable way, without exaggeration or fear, seeking a balance between the needs of people and the needs of nature. (Yes, I consider both to be equally important.)

Sorry if that approach offends you.

Scratch that. I am not sorry. If you really are offended by my calmness and positive attitude, that is your problem.

Get over it.